← Grand Archive - Constructed @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
Fire Ravishing MillTier 1
at Grand Archive - Constructed @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-0-3
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1289
· median 1289
· range 1289–1289
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1135
Q3 1244
1289
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.1 |
| Wind Exia | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
